China's Reckoning: Demographic Collapse

⭐️ If you have Nebula, go watch this there for the full, extended version. If you don't, why not? It's only $15/year and gives you extra- long versions of these videos: curiositystream.com/polymatter Also, Part 2 of this series is here: isslows.info/life/es23kYbWpGuorsw/v-deo.html

STOP THE XI JINPING AND CCP BELT AND ROAD INITIATIVE THAT IS FUELING CHINESE WAR MACHINERY!

What about immigration? That's how the US tries to solve its problem.

A people that thinks little-to-nothing about killing its babies will not bat an eye about killing its surplus old.

Another prediction of China's collapse? Really? We'll be just fine thanks for your concerns though. How's your country doing? There is no more mass shooting? The whites and the minorities are living happily side by side? You've found housing for all your homeless? All of the citizens have universal health care now? Great to hear. HAPPY for you guys.

What a bunch of morons.

So what you are saying is China needs some type of "natural" disaster to occur. Perhaps they need, oh I don't know, some type of virus to spawn in nature which turns out to be very deadly to the elderly but less deadly to the young. So the elderly would pass away chopping off the top of the Demographic Pyramid, removing that burden to their society. And it would leave the younger surviving producers to continue to build and grow their country. And as a boost they would be energized in their activities to do so in memory of those lost to the horrors of nature. Nah, this will never happen will it ...... I mean what are the odds that some type of virus mutates in Asia of all places and jumps into humans in such a way to be deadlier for the Elderly instead of the young. One last thing to add .. imagine how much China has invested in the Debt Ridden US. So if you expected to get any money back from the US to pay for those seniors ... ROFLMAO >>>>

Modern civilization is a ponzi scheme. 🤫

Cool video but I had to speed it up 25% couldn't handle the slow speak. Truly it probably only needs about 10% increase but that's not an option on YT

But, wont china just off them with questionable means. Like a pandemic, paired with locking people into homes to starve. Maybe they think shoveling solar power en masse will counteract the losses, but energy is only penny-wise.

Obviously, you haven't studied COMMUNIST HISTORY. COMMUNIST kill their unwanted!

Throughout history when the population of males is way out of kilter with the number of females, there is one solution governments have reached for: war. Because of the demographic crunch, of which the leadership is acutely aware, the question of Taiwan looms large. The US is still a significant threat to achieving the goal of capturing Taiwan, but for how much longer? Democrats seem likely to abandon US military readiness (abetted by the CCP pushing racial division) and may leave the island vulnerable. The Chinese have a window where they will have the men of military age to support an invasion, but that will close as men "age out" of the prime military bracket. This is certainly a very dangerous time. The Chinese government has stoked expectations of capturing Taiwan and sees accomplishing this as necessary for the regime's continued existence.

Sorry a china of 800 million will be a true superpower with 1,6 it would be much poorer. There are inflection point where more people does leads to less growth not more. CHina has excess manpower it will be able to bridge this demographic transition. Meanwhile their is the populations cluster f--k called India. I am far more worried about India over population than China's declining populations . Please stop thinking population growth always means economic growth. In Biology nothing grows forever. Even in a ruck economy the problems of huge populations can be detrimental and far far more susceptible to disruptions.

This is the product of one helluva combo of skill and effort, and a ton of research. Your infographics are great and effective, too.If my field was demographics, sure, I'd gladly pay the $15 for Nebula. But here's a perspective for your consideration: The average curious & intelligent viewer will probably _not want_ more depth on a subject like this - this was plenty (verging on boggling), for free.

china is THE NEW SUPERPOWER>>>>GET USE TO IT FELLOW> THE US EMPIRE OF GREED IS ANCIENT HISTORY

Is part 3 available?

cope

keep dreaming imperialists!! china stronk and gonna take you very soon

This is going on in Japan and the US as well. 100% of the overall population growth in the USA is through immigration, effectively replacing the population that was here in the 1950s with a demographically quite different group. Japan is dying on the vine as its birthrate has tanked. China is not alone. Any country that has embraced feminism with gusto has this problem, and will forever have it. It is like spending more money on your monthly bills than you bring in. Over time your savings will shrink and your debt will increase. If you do not replace your population your society will go extinct at some point. Will China wake up? Will Japan? I think the US is too far gone to wake up today; all the political and propaganda forces (the news, the entertainment media, the schools and even the laws are all ensuring that). If women choose careers over having 3 or more babies, your society will whither on the vine. End of story.

It's such a short-sighted, struggles-of-yesterday mentality to believe countries must maximize strength by maximizing young people. The whole world could create sustainability and happiness by holding the line at 1.2 to 1.5 births per woman for a century, work our way down to about 1 billion people, plan well and support each other generously through the bumpy interim road, then have a free-time no-scarcity economy, ready to incentivize and celebrate birth and family to get us to a stable global 2.1 per woman. Less people, better lives. Less need to be impoverished and scarce, less crowding in every industry, field, and art form, less risk of eco catastrophe, less violence from overdense populations coming into conflict.

China: *releases a dangerous virus that targets fragile/sick/old people* Now I'm gonna do something called a pro player move

And you don’t think that SARS-Cov2 wasn’t specifically designed to target their increasingly burdensome elderly population?

In the 1970s, the Arab world was going to take over, because that is where the oil was. In the 1980s, Japan was certainly going to take over the world. As you point out, those things didn't happen. But those states did not present passive-aggressive belligerence to the world. Belligerence has to be taken into account. A retired Chinese general, Liang Qiao, wrote "Unrestricted Warfare" which is basically a plan to attack the United States and the west. His premise is that China will take over the world. He details just how impressive the U.S. military is. His strategy is not to oppose the United States by military force, but by subterfuge. His plan includes undermining the political process in other countries, using fishing boats to claim territorial waters by occupancy, and using biological weapons. Sound like any world you recognize? The CCP has to be aware of these demographic trends. The CCP is the world's public enemy #1. They may not wait until their demographics beats them.

China will soon run out of people? Makes zero sense

One way they can solve this problem is attracting the Chinese diaspora to return and work in China. But unless the Chinese government continues to liberalise, there won't be much incentive for people of Chinese descent, particularly in Western society, to move back to China. The Japanese did not have this option because their diaspora is not as big.

Covid primarily kills the elderly, lucky China. It also particularly affects men, lucky China. (Or was it just luck?)

The problem in the US and most western countries is that young adults are being turned into leftists which permanently locks them into the "useless money eating machine" phase of life.

Great info.

Is the US worried about 1.7 tsr? I believe no, because of our massive immigration policies, mostly thanks to Mexico.

Very interesting but only deals with economics. The last thing the world needs is more people, especially if they all want to become rampant consumers. We must learn tothink about life in other ways.

When you run out of people, expect their roles to be replaced by machines.

The fella who is the narrator in the video is also the fella who does the narrative of the show, "This is your Daily dose of Internet."

I would love to see this re-done but factor in the addition of 'automation'. I think this 'science/theory' is very well put together and makes a lot of sense. but the prospect of automation turns the whole concept of the 'producer' age group on its head. with the fore-front of automation your country could be extremely economically productive with, in-effect, zero people in the 'poroducer' age group.....which will in-turn have far-reaching effects on the world. and I really think that throws a wrench in this theory.

Since older people are healthier, they can work longer. There are many moving parts.

It cant happen fast enough.

Taiwan has actually a birth rate of 1.07 and South Korea one of 1.10. East Asia has a real problem with babys.

Ok. I've only seen this one but are you assuming the United States remains unchanged? What will our demographic situation be? What about debt? What about social pressures? China is homogeneous. The U.S. is becoming increasingly divided. What about the willingness of the people of China to rapidly adapt? We can't get half the American people to wear masks during a pandemic. China might no need to elevate itself that much if the U.S. descends. The U.S. started 2 trillion dollars worth of wars and our response was a tax cut. We're probably another 4 trillion in stimulus because of covid and Trump's tax cuts for the 1% are still in effect. This definitely throws cold water on the presumption that China will become dominant but it's only one factor. I'll look for the other parts to this.

EVERYTHING that CHINA is TODAY ,, is from a LARGE INFLUX of MONEY from the WEST ,, & the THEFT of WESTERN IP ..; get it ,, they stole it,,, FROM US

How about a country where about a third of the population is too moronic to function at a useful level, no matter what their age group?

I find it funny that you group "producers" and "high income" together when anyone with half a brain and eyes knows China's "producers" are exploited, abused and underpaid if at all.

I wouldn't worry china forsaw that time and they surely have a plan in place to deal like they are used to do... radically... like maybe just releasing a virus that would wipe out the elderly demography,... that would sovle the problem, I'm pretty sure they are thinking about it... considering the politics of the CCP since 60 years... that wouldn't be out of the table. they would just need to find a virus that could do that...

The reason the US is ‘immune’ to this otherwise universal problem: immigration. The constant stream of ‘producers’ category population keeps the US economy growing. Limiting immigration, refusing to accept and integrate new, immigrant population is national suicide.

The age of a nation's population will become irrelevant as AI takes over most jobs. What will matter is which country leads the AI race. Watch how this comment ages in the next 5-10 years.

Isn't it curious then that Covid-19 mostly attacks the elderly...

I honestly expect to see certain countries mandate minimum birth requirements on woman when this really starts to hit home.

Why...does this kid...narrating this video...talk like he...is a robot...who gets a few words out...and pauses....every 5 seconds? 😂 And also drops every end of every sentence.

No country after seeing fertility rates collapse has yet been able to cause a consistant stable increase. With perks, tax breaks etc countries can cause an increase but it only lasts a couple of years and is nowhere close to being enough to offset the previous years of decline. The issue is lots of people don't want 3+ children, a stable fertility rate requires that for every 10 woman they have 21 children in their lives but a lot of woman will have just 1 or even 0 which means that even those woman who do have 2 or 3 aren't having enough to offset the decline. There was a UN long range population projection back when the UN population projection for the year 2100 was 11.3 billion and it had the population collapsing to between 3.5 and 4.5 billion by 2150 with a global average life expectancy in the high 80's. Today the UN projection is 10.9 billion that's a decrease of nearly the equivelant of losing the EU's population! some other estimates put the 2100 population down to as low as 8.8 billion. We aren't talking about the distant future here we are talking about a mere 79 years away till we hit 2100. It's not just the population decreasing either the much bigger issue is that the median age of the population will sky rocket. Today less than 10% of the global population is over 65 by 2100 it could be between 22-25%!

Its important that women recieve access to education, but we must not let that affect birth rates. I personally think that by providing better education, and more public services for child care we can make it easier to have parents, and safer. People in the west don't have kids because its too expensive, so lets make it cheaper. We need to pressure our local, regional, and national governments to find a solution to this issue, or all industrialized nations may face this. At the very least there would be massive demographic and ethnic changes which could be dangerous.

Ohohoooo so that's why China is so focused on cloning and creating super soldiers.

Now, why would the establishment want to imply that China is taking over...oh yeah to get you all back to work, working double hours. Establishment snakes. You'll have to make do without my money from now on.

Why is this being considered a problem? After many decades of discussion about overpopulation and the depletion of the environment how is a declining birth rate not being lauded as a major boon for increasing the quality of life globally? What happened to "zero population growth"? We have too many people for the amount of resources.

They will change pension age to 75 since they have better health etc.

Hard to imagine that this mindnumbingly long video with an actual content worth about 30 seconds has an extended version! On another note, I do hope China will dominate the world. So far, they have been conquering everything by trading and investing, unlike the current dominant superpower which indiscriminately bombs the hell out of anyone who disagrees.

The most useless of them all: Babies North Korea: You guys don't send babies to work in the salt mines?

The same thing happening to a China is happening to all countries - the birth rate is falling.... world wide.

There is also a cultural factor, for men and woman to get married , and how likely a divorced/widow/single parent, person to get married a second time

Is this the reason why China is so aggressive today? Does CCP understood that if they don't act now, in the near future, their political and economic influence and plan to replace the US as the dominant power will collapse. If that's the case, Xi Jinping is gambling on borrowed time.

US has a 1.73 birthrate, South Korea .98 and the world 2.5. Is China really an anomaly? This is misleading and not objective.

why guns in this Modell? you forget, that we have popuulation plannings.... and a global control sytem.... this is more a cuture war mindseet between generations.... for example - china scince the nixon and kissinger visit followed the strict rules of the one child policy.... and your numbers on china are too low... or the calculaton that worldpopulation grew in bretton woods from four billion to seven and a half is wrong.... fiction... the deals are done... china feeds the west..... with cheap labour and currency inequality.... and its preprogrammed when this boom ends.... has to be dimmed down.... there are so many faktors basicly not predictible.... these are the numbers for the parliaments when they deal with the etats.... and taxes.... and this sounds again - the middleclass however to frame it - as kapital from both sides to suck out.... rule with upperclass and precariat only - desaster is preprogrammed....... georgia guidestones - is obviousley the ultima limit for suckout... bring this whole model into a stereotype of china as riskfactor and overdraw it.... the chineses will protect their population very well.... especially their system..... and - you will see the old Lebensraum agenda in full swing...

The conclusion of any Western Study on China is stupid！

Look, I can appreciate all the time and labor but you fundamentally looked at this from a completely different perspective. You're correct about the demographic shifts and birth rates in relation to industrialization, but you're taking an entirely capitalistic approach to a socialist nation. Capitalism requires constant growth. Socialist nations aim to work less, aim to provide for the people rather than profits. Constant growth is unsustainable and nor should it be sustainable. China, and the CPC, plan decades in advance. If you think they don't have things like this in consideration then you fail to understand economic planning, different economic and social models, and take a very chauvinistic look at the rest of the world. Further, the fact you even need to state "if you believe the government is telling." This is just red scare propaganda with yellow pearl characteristics wrapped in statistical data.

"Succumb to biology" is my favorite phrase for a while.

75% of Chinese elders will live with their children, will ask for very little and will be little to no burden on the state.

China is bankrupt it ca never pay. all it’s depths so it will collapse. .

7:14 nice easter egg how you colored the bars like the old flag of china

Yeah this does explain something.. Why China wants a war NOW!

I am not surprised if china starts shooting seniors

Only halfway through, but getting a Soylent Green vibe.

Next we get Africa Century ahhaahah

Malthusian theory is well and truly dead. Yet, ask anyone under 30 in the US or Europe and they'll tell you the world is overpopulated. Take Russia, the world's largest country in sq miles, twice as large as the next competitor. Since 1990 its total fertility rate has fallen below the minimum replacement rate. Currently, in 2220, it's TFR stood at 1.495! If they're ever going to conquer any additional territory, they'll have to do it in the next 10 years.

I was waiting for him to say and this is your daily dose of internet

PERSONAL OPINION: As a Filipino, the Idea of China becoming the world power is fine only if it is not an authoritarian communist government.

Very enlightening. Thank you.

So its a LONG, round about video telling us that China has SCREWED ITSELF with the dual policies of One child per family and allowing parents to ENSURE ITS A BOY! And of course CHINA WILL NOT import women from other countries because that would be a pollution of their gene pool! China is becoming a nation of grumpy old men who want to rule the world and order the rest if us to treat them nicley in old folks homes!

Could immigration remediate or solve this issue?

How.much.racism.in.this.comment.section? Yes

This is good news they won’t take over the world

fake news. This is an anti-china channel.

Demographics can't sneak up on you. So the question should be....why did the powers that be push the narrative that they did?

LOVE hearing demographics of shrinking populations as we're depleting our earth's resources far too quick.

its astonishing how destructive mao zedong has been for china. forget about the 60 million chinese people he starved to death with his reckless sparrow killing mania and shoddy communist science, the demographic crisis he created will ruin the economic gains china has been making for decades. for china, mao is the curse that keeps on giving, yet he is revered as a god. total madness.

Every problem has its own solution. In 2020 China has tested unique retirement program that deals with increasing senior population. Side effect of spreading around the world is not a concern. It just works!

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china hasn't really tapped into all its population

And everything goes to hell when AI takes over 😂 😅😁😊🙂😐😕🙁😟😥😢😩😫😭

Is it possable that ai driven robots will do the majority of work and demographics of young workers won't matter as much in the future?

The CCP would like a word with you, PolyMatter.

immigrants: allow us to introduce ourselves

Is the narrator of this video a machine?

If anything china deserves this

Biased theory based on pure speculation and wishful thinking.

China was willing to murder BABIES for decades. What makes you think they won't just murder the elderly if this happens?

No mention of the countless Chinese girl babies that were murdered by their families during the 1-child period. As much as the "woke" crowd like to claim "men get pregnant too" it doesn't hold water in the real world.

China told we are 800 mill 1978 it´s too much we must do something and 1 child was the limit then so the number must be lower now it was a plan and plans are followed in China. The men are 20% more than women now they admit that so how many are they? I say the reduction is 200 mill. 600 mill is very much still.

Your “Enemies” Never Print their Weaknesses.

I think the real question is when the demographic do become an issue, will China be able to pivot or will they try to hold on to what they once had?

You're forgetting one thing in regards to demographic with china in particular: they're willing to do the unthinkable. I bet you, when this transition happens, we'll see some sort of social push by the government to spurn these "useless eaters". To place the blame for everything on them and to kill them off as fast as possible. Forced labor camps, targeted incarceration, accusations of having an anti party agenda. The ccp is not above this sort of thing, make no mistake.

16:00 no, we haven't agreed that it's strictly good that women aren't becoming mothers or that having less children is more fulfilling. Why say such a strange thing?

16:32 "Seniors will burden the economy for longer than ever..." Unless there was a sudden disease that would affect mostly old people but seemed to leave children unaffected...

China gonna robotify itself and gonna be heaven on earth while west gonna be Middle East just like it's demographics